Who Guards the Guards? What Happens When the Host of the NATO Summit Has No Government by Paolo Maria Pavan Jun 3, 2025 WISE The Theatre of Power Is Moving. The Hague, city of law and treaties, is preparing to host one of the most consequential NATO summits in modern memory. But this time, there is no applause. No commemora... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan WISE Read more
Why “Retail Growth” in the Netherlands Is a Dangerous Illusion by Paolo Maria Pavan Jun 3, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN Each month, the same ritual plays out. Statistics Netherlands releases retail data. Analysts nod. News outlets report that sales are growing. The illusion is served. In April 2025, retail turnover ros... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more
“Turnover Is Up!” And Other Lies We Tell Entrepreneurs by Paolo Maria Pavan Jun 2, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN There is a stubborn optimism that clings to percentage points like a child to candy. “Hospitality turnover up 3.4% in Q1 2025!” reads the headline. A sigh of relief follows in boardrooms and cafés ali... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more
How the Dream of Starting a Family Is Being Crushed by the Cost of a Home by Paolo Maria Pavan May 29, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN Prosperity or Paradox? The Netherlands is routinely ranked among the happiest countries in the world, a top-tier economy and the fourth largest GDP in Europe. But beneath this glossy label of prosperi... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan REAL ESTATE Read more
Where Did All the Money Go? Not to Restaurants. by Paolo Maria Pavan May 28, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN More Money, Less Spending? In 2024, Dutch households saw their disposable income rise by 5.7%, reaching a historic €553 billion. On paper, that’s a good year. But dig deeper and the real story isn’t a... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more
Confidence Is Falling. That’s Not the Real Problem. by Paolo Maria Pavan May 27, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN Another month, another dip. In May, Dutch manufacturer confidence slipped once again—this time from -3.3 to -3.9, according to CBS. The headlines will call it “a minor decline.” But confidence doesn’t... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more
Dutch Housing Prices Soar 10%—But Are We Celebrating a Bubble? by Paolo Maria Pavan May 23, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN When Data Inflates, Truth Shrinks April 2025: According to Statistics Netherlands (CBS), the average price of an existing home was 10.2% higher than in April 2024. It’s the eleventh consecutive month ... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan REAL ESTATE Read more
Your Financing Is Approved—Until It Isn’t by Paolo Maria Pavan May 22, 2025 WISE Let me be clear: the most dangerous phrase in today’s financial vocabulary is “We’ve decided not to proceed due to political uncertainty.” I’ve heard it twice in the last quarter—once during a refinan... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan WISE Read more
The Dutch Paradox: Wealth Now, Weakness Later by Paolo Maria Pavan May 21, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN The Netherlands looks good in pictures. Especially when the picture is taken at just the right angle. The Monitor Brede Welvaart and SDG’s 2025 , delivered to Parliament on Accountability Day, offers ... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more
Why the Dutch Feel Stuck: The Shocking Truth Behind -37 Consumer Confidence by Paolo Maria Pavan May 20, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN The Dinner Table Barometer Picture yourself at a Dutch dinner table in May 2025. The mood? Measured. You pass the potatoes, but the conversation circles—quietly—around rising prices, future plans, and... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more
Retail Isn’t Recovered—It’s Cornered. When 0.9% Becomes 3.1%, You Should Ask Why. by Paolo Maria Pavan May 19, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN Let’s not celebrate too soon. Yes, the Dutch retail sector posted a 3.1% turnover growth in Q1 2025. That’s the headline. But as anyone who’s studied the anatomy of a balance sheet knows— what grows c... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more
Rethinking Recovery: The Netherlands Adjusts Its Resilience Compass by Paolo Maria Pavan May 16, 2025 PAOLO MARIA PAVAN The Recovery Plan as a Living System In governance, plans are often treated like relics—fixed, codified, admired, and rarely questioned. But real resilience demands evolution. This week, the European ... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan Read more