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Dutch housing slows, but stays structurally expensive

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  • Dutch housing slows, but stays structurally expensive
  • March 26, 2026 by
    Paolo Maria Pavan


    What is the situation?


    Dutch existing-home prices were 5.4% higher in February 2026 than a year earlier, while 17,675 homes changed hands, up 8.1% year on year. The average transaction price was €487,768. The price index rose to 153.5, up from 145.7 in February 2025.

    The real signal is not a collapse. It is a shift in velocity. Housing is still expensive, but the pace of escalation has slowed sharply from last year’s double-digit surge. At the same time, liquidity improved as more homes were sold. For small-business leaders, that changes timing, negotiation leverage, and planning quality more than the headline price level does.

    Analysis


    For micro and small companies, housing impacts operating costs, shaping salary pressure, recruitment reach, relocation packages, and office-location choices.

    The main distortion is this: founders often react to the price level rather than to changes in momentum. A market growing at 5.4% behaves differently from one growing at 10% or more, even if both are expensive. Slower price growth with higher transaction volume usually means more room for due diligence and less urgency-driven decision-making.

    One caution matters. Part of the extra supply comes from landlords selling rental homes, which supports transaction volume now but may not last indefinitely. That means today’s improved flexibility may be temporary rather than structural.

    Impact


    H1


    Salary discussions should become more disciplined. Housing pressure is still real, but the market no longer justifies panic-based compensation assumptions carried over from the 2024-to-2025 surge. Use current data, not old escalation psychology.

    H2


    Office moves, lease renewals, and relocation decisions can be evaluated with better timing. Higher transaction volume means greater comparability and slightly better negotiating conditions, especially for firms that can expand their geographic reach.

    H3


    Housing should now be treated as a structural cost baseline, not a temporary spike. Even with slower growth, the market remains far above earlier levels. Business models, hiring logic, and location strategy need to absorb that reality.

    Daily operational takeaway


    This week, compare a current salary, office, or relocation decision directly to the February 2026 CBS-Kadaster housing data. Ensure your logic does not rely on last year's fast-moving market conditions.

    in BOARD BRIEF TODAY
    Paolo Maria Pavan March 26, 2026
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